Huckabee is launching an ad, aimed at working-class voters, addressing economic insecurity in Michigan. Conventional wisdom has it that Huck’s evangelical, socially conservative base has been at the root of his success. But Michigan could be a testing ground for the durability of his economic populist message.
I don’t have any detailed knowledge of Michigan’s demographics, but I don’t think Huckabee’s brand of evangelicalism is well represented there. But it does have a lot of economically insecure voters who have been hit hard by globalization and the gutting of the American manufacturing economy. As of right now, he comes in second to Romney by an insignificant margin in the RCP poll average. A solid win Michigan would show that Huck’s message resonates among Reagan Democrats.
Meanwhile, it looks like a make-or-break state for Romney, who has pulled ads in SC and Fla, apparently to concentrate on Michigan. He’s also promising a victory, so even a strong second-place showing will be a blow to Mitt’s faltering campaign.
Meanwhile, in South Carolina:
In what could ultimately be a tight race against a rejuvenated McCain in South Carolina, Huckabee emphasized there is a “genuinely mutual respect” and that he doesn’t anticipate taking the gloves off, unless McCain takes them off first.
Is Huck running for vice president?
UPDATE: More on the Huck-McCain love fest:
For now, at least, it’ll be a battle with feathers, as Huckabee and McCain have spent recent weeks complimenting each other at nearly every available opportunity. The staffs of both candidates say the men respect and enjoy each other’s company, talking most recently on Tuesday night when Huckabee called McCain to congratulate him on winning in New Hampshire. (Their good relationship continues to fuel speculation of a McCain-Huckabee or Huckabee-McCain ticket.)