$6 per gallon?
The old saying is: “Yeah, but what does that have to do with the price of bananas?”
Well, when it comes to oil, a lot. OPEC’s president says oil could hit $200 per barrel. The problem, of course, is that the price of everything which is shipped (which is pretty much everything other than online services) is affected by the price of oil. I recently reported on a trucker revolt in downtown Indy. Those revolts have been spreading throughout the country. When trucking companies are hit with high oil prices, does anyone think they absorb the cost? Of course, they don’t. That cost gets priced into the goods we buy.
Last year, we hit $100 per barrel for oil and, at that time, the price of unleaded gasoline was nearly $3 per gallon. When (note I did not say if) the price of oil hits $200 per barrel, gas prices will likely be $6 per gallon. I drive a fuel efficient import (made in Marysville, Ohio before anyone gets all kooky and talking about how they bought a Ford, which was built in either Canada or Mexico, tells how I should support American cars) and the other day my 12 gallon tank cost me over $40 to fill up, with $50 bills not far off. Those sorts of bills used to be reserved for the SUV driving populace. Forty dollars used to be my entire budget for gasoline for an entire month. Consider this: semi trucks typically have 300 (some have 325) gallon tanks. At $4.16 for a gallon of diesel, which is a decent price right now, it would cost the average trucker nearly $1,250.00 to fill ‘er up.
I used to work at the fuel desk at a truck stop (third shift - drank tons of coffee), and it was a gigantic sale when someone spent $300 to fuel their truck. Now that would get them about two truck stops down the road. I understand their angst and realize that if nothing is done, we’ll soon feel their pain.
Diverting grain to be used to create fuel is not the answer. First, it is extremely expensive to accomplish - more than to drill for oil, or buy from the Middle East. And, second, it drives up the cost of almost every food item, which of course impacts poor people, who spend more as a percentage of their income on food, disproportionately.
Surprisingly, Barack Obama, who seems to be clueless whenever he begins to talk about actual policies as opposed to grand ideas like change, is somehow opposed to relieving the consumer from the burden of government taxes on fuel. Hillary, at least, gets it. McCain has been out front on this issue. But even McCain’s plan is a stopgap measure. First, a hiatus on the gas tax would eventually impact our roads, which the tragedy in Minneapolis teaches us are in a deplorable state. But, second, that sort of relief, while welcome, is temporary. The real problem is that demand has far outstripped supply and OPEC refuses to pump more oil.
We should do three things. First, we should put enormous pressure on our allies (and enemies) to open the spigot in the Middle East. Let the oil flow! To that end, we should exploit the Iraqi oil fields which are under our control. The liberals have always said this war was about oil, let us make it so. Second, we should begin drilling in the United States - FOR DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION ONLY (regardless of whether the Brits are paying nearly $10 per gallon). The Alaskan wildlife refuge has a huge reservoir. And a newly discovered cache of shale oil has been discovered under North Dakota, which rivals the reservoir which Saudi Arabia once possessed. These resources should be exploited shamelessly. Third, in the meantime, we should invest in alternative fuel systems (I personally find hydrogen the most promising). That initiative should be made the 21st century’s “man-on-the-moon” initiative, with the commensurate funding incentives from Washington to make it happen.
Much has to be done to create a viable alternative energy answer. There needs to be research and development, of course. But, fuel cells are a reality that exist today - making hydrogen production cost effective should be the goal here. But even if that were accomplished, if one bought a fuel cell car, where would one fuel it? The infrastructure would have to be facilitated so that consumers would find it to be a viable answer to oil.
Whether the answer is fuel cells or something else (which hopefully doesn’t drive the price of hamburgers through the roof - I’m looking at you corn producers - another fuel source must be located. The infrastructure must be created to support it. And, dependence on foreign sources of oil must end. The dollar will thank you. Plus, it might help the environment!

April 30th, 2008 at 8:50 am
I agree with your overall plan and would like to through a few thoughts out there. First, we are letting Chicoms drill off of our coast. Why don’t we kick them out and drill for ourselves? Second, ANWAR is the right move but we have to make sure it is done responsibly. Third, I’m always hearing how it’s the government and big oil’s fault that the price of gasoline is so high. I wonder if people in Canada or the UK blame their governments for having to pay nearly $5 for a LITRE of gas. In the end the problem here is OPEC. There is no oil shortage but rather the world is being held hostage by a small cadre of countries who set the price of oil. The war in Iraq has little to do with any oil price increase but serves as a means for OPEC to justify raising prices.
May 19th, 2008 at 6:15 pm
{{{{{{The liberals have always said this war was about oil, let us make it so. Second, we should begin drilling in the United States - }}}}}}}}
Karl, YOu’ve got to stop listening to Rush and start thinking for yourself! I don’t know what the liberals are saying about the war but us true conservatives say nation building should be left to the UN. Operation Iraqi Liberation…it is about the
CONTROL of oil. The tax holiday idea and drilling in the Arctic so we can use even more gasoline, is childish and is not a solution. America needs to get off the gas!
May 19th, 2008 at 7:10 pm
Mr. Lewis, why do we have to get off of the oil if we can find the means to produce it for ourselves? Are you concerned about the environmental “effects” of oil? Or are you more concerned about the U.S. relying on other countries for oil? If that is is the case then providing our own oil from Alaska or the Gulf is an appropriate answer.
May 19th, 2008 at 9:12 pm
Daniel,
Let me begin by thanking you for reading this blog. Second, let me set you straight about a thing or two.
First, I haven’t listened to Rush for at least 4 years. (I have listened to portions of his show a few times during that period, but I am not a person who can be said to be contributing to his ratings).
Second, read my latest comment where I have said for the umpteenth time that I regard the war in Iraq as debatable morally. I will say once more that I am uncertain that the justification of this war is legitimate. And, I will say for the umpteenth time that we are nonetheless stuck with the war we started.
I agree that nation building is a business that this country should eschew. Unfortunately, we have engaged in that endeavor and we have a responsibility now to see that our efforts do not end in disaster for innocents in Iraq.
As for the notion that this war is about oil, I find precious little evidence for that position as we are paying record amounts of money for a gallon of oil, which puts the lie to that notion. If we truly were stealing the Middle East’s oil, we’d be paying much less at the pump. Would that we were stealing their oil. It might justify our war.
As to my suggestion that we drill for oil here, it is because we are NOT stealing the Middle East’s oil for our own consumption. Hopefully if we drill here, that will buy us time to generate other options that do not rely upon fossil fuels (or corn, for that matter) so as to impoverish the Middle East.
Daniel Lewis, I hope that dispels any misperception you have built around the single post you’ve read. Second, I hope you continue to read and comment. However, I hope your next comment contributes content rather than invective.
May 25th, 2008 at 1:59 pm
Why not solve the problem by demanding a quid pro quo? For every immigrant from Mexico in the US, the US is given 10,000 barrels of petrol in compensation?
May 25th, 2008 at 2:02 pm
It’s not a long term solution, but it’s a nice addition to drilling the Alaskan refuge for buying a bit more time.
May 26th, 2008 at 2:13 pm
I like it. The only problem is where to store all the oil.